Best Places to Buy Single-Family Homes in Texas (2026)
February 2, 2026
15 minutes
Key Takeaways:
- Single-family houses in Texas are in a strong buyer’s market in 2025. Many buyers are specifically searching for the best cities to buy a home in Texas, especially where prices are softening and inventory is high.
- Median home prices are softening, many single-family homes in Texas are staying on the market longer, and prices are expected to drop 2-4% this year.
- Homes are staying on the market longer, giving buyers room to negotiate.
- Taxes and insurance remain high, so full monthly costs matter more than list price.
- Best value markets include Fort Worth, Georgetown, Waco, Killeen, Baytown, and El Paso.
- Builders are offering big incentives, and resale sellers are cutting prices to compete.
The Single-Family Houses in Texas 2025 has shifted into a full buyer’s market. There are more homes for sale, prices are dropping, and sellers are offering bigger discounts. Even though taxes and insurance remain high, Texas is still a strong long-term choice thanks to steady job growth, population increases, and a wide range of affordable markets across the state. This environment gives buyers looking for single-family houses in Texas more options, more negotiating power, and more long-term opportunities.
This guide breaks down the best places to buy, key trends, and what buyers should know before choosing a city - especially if you're comparing the best cities to buy a home in Texas across value, affordability, and long-term growth potential.
Texas Housing Market 2025: What to Know Before Buying a Single-Family Home
Single-Family Houses in Texas 2025 is shifting from the post-pandemic boom into a correction phase. Higher inventory, longer selling times, and widespread price cuts have firmly placed the state in a buyer’s market.
Below is a streamlined breakdown of key trends and long-term attractors shaping Texas housing this year.
Buying a Home? Get up to 1.5% Cash Back at Closing
Get pre-approval first, and start exploring homes knowing you may get part of the home price back at closing.

Median Home Prices (Statewide + Trendline)
Texas is seeing strong sales activity, but excess supply is pushing prices downward-especially in the segment of single-family houses in Texas.
1. Statewide Median Price (Sept 2025): $330,000
2. Trend: September marked the third consecutive month of YoY price declines, with the Home Price Index down 0.8% YoY.
3. 2025 Outlook: Prices are expected to continue softening through the year-end, with a total decline of 2%-4%. Earlier forecasts expected the year to end above $350,000, but that has adjusted due to slower growth and higher supply.
4. Metro Median Prices (Sept 2025):
- Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos: $415,000 (largest declines)
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington: $386,700 (-1% YoY)
- Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands: $325,000
- San Antonio-New Braunfels: $310,000 (-1.9% YoY)
Inventory, Time on Market & Appreciation
High supply continues to define the market for single-family houses in Texas in 2025.
Metric | September 2025 | What It Means |
|---|---|---|
Inventory | 5.5 months (20.2% YoY increase) | Well above the balanced 3-4 months; buyers have more options. |
Days on Market | 96 days for unsold listings; 67 days for sold homes | Fast pandemic-era sales are over; luxury homes often sit 120+ days. |
Seller Concessions | $17,000 median price cuts | Discounts of $25K-$50K are common in suburbs like McKinney. |
Appreciation | -0.8% YoY | Prices likely won’t stabilize until mid-2026. |
More inventory means better leverage for anyone buying single-family houses in Texas. Texas is a best place to buy in 2025 with more homes, lower prices, and strong seller deals, but taxes and insurance are high. The market is expected to rise again as jobs and population grow.
How to Tell Texas Is Right for Buying a Single-Family House
This section highlights the major factors shaping the ideal locations for buyers interested in single-family houses in Texas.
1. Affordability vs. Long-Term Appreciation
Affordability is tight in many metros, but long-term appreciation potential remains strong for single-family houses in Texas due to consistent job and population growth.
Save up to 1.5% at closing when you buy
Get pre-approval first, then start exploring homes knowing you can receive up to 1.5% of the home price back at closing.

Affordability | Long-Term Appreciation | Summary / Factors |
|---|---|---|
| Affordability is tight in many Texas metros. | Long-term growth remains strong due to job and population gains. | Texas is expensive now but strong long-term for single-family buyers. |
| Major cities have strained affordability. | Prices are expected to stabilize by mid-2026. | Short-term pain, long-term stability. |
| McKinney (ratio 5+), Denton (near 5), Cedar Park ($515K vs. $84K income) show high price-to-income gaps. | Prices are projected to grow 1%-2% by late 2026. | High-growth suburbs are costly today but good for long-term value. |
| Monthly payments in Round Rock & Frisco average $3,200-$4,800. | Demand is delayed, not disappearing. | High rates and taxes hurt affordability but demand remains solid. |
| El Paso, Houston, Dallas, and Austin offer better affordability ranges. | A major crash is unlikely. | These large metros balance affordability with a stable long-term outlook. |
| 2025 prices expected to fall 2-4%. | Short-term dip improves buying conditions. | Buyers get better entry points during correction. |
2. School District Quality & Family Appeal
Here are the top-rated districts that are considered some of the best areas for single-family houses in Texas for families.
- Highly Rated Suburbs: Areas like Frisco, Prosper, Mansfield, Melissa, and Aledo attract families for their strong schools and extensive community amenities.
- Infrastructure Pressure: Rapid expansion has strained services in cities like Round Rock and Frisco, leading to congestion, overwhelmed schools, and pressure on utilities.
3. Crime Rates & Neighborhood Safety
Low-crime, family-oriented neighborhoods continue to attract buyers searching for safe single-family houses in Texas. Buyers increasingly prioritize the safest places to live in Texas and neighborhoods with strong schools, rather than choosing homes based only on the broader metro area.
4. Job Growth & Economic Stability
Texas remains one of the strongest U.S. economies, and job stability plays a major role in long-term value for single-family houses in Texas.
1. 2025 Economic Forecast: Texas GDP is projected to grow 3.3%-3.7%, with payroll employment rising 2.0%-2.4%.
2. Metro Anchors:
- Dallas continues to pull major corporate relocations across finance, tech, and logistics.
- San Antonio is accelerating growth in cybersecurity and bioscience.
3. Vulnerable Markets: Cities like Garland and Denton show stress from layoffs, retail vacancies, and wage stagnation. Austin is navigating tech layoffs and the impact of remote-work reversals.
5. The Property Tax Gap Across Counties
Property tax differences across counties can significantly affect affordability for single-family houses in Texas. Some counties exceed 2%+ effective tax rates.
1. State Average: Effective tax rate of 1.63% (vs. U.S. average of 0.90%).
2. Higher-Tax Counties:
- El Paso County: 2.14%
- Fort Bend County: 2.06% (driven by extensive special districts)
- Tarrant County: 1.82%
3. Highest Annual Payments:
- Collin County median: $7,202
- Travis County median: $7,160
6. Build-to-Rent Demand & Rental Yields
DFW and San Antonio remain strong rental markets, while overbuilt metros like Austin and Garland create challenges for investors purchasing single-family houses in Texas for rental income.
- Pressure in Overbuilt Markets: Rents are flattening and vacancies rising in cities like Irving, Austin, and Garland-reducing investor returns.
- Strong Markets: Dallas and San Antonio remain top choices due to consistent job growth and a deep, reliable tenant base.
Best Places to Buy Single-Family Houses in Texas (City-by-City
The Texas housing market 2025 is undergoing a deep correction, giving buyers more leverage. This section highlights how each city performs and where buyers have the strongest opportunities - especially those evaluating the best cities to buy a home in Texas based on price cuts, job growth, and affordability.
North Texas (DFW Metroplex) Single-Family Housing 2025
Frisco, McKinney, Prosper, Melissa, and Fort Worth all show unique advantages for buyers exploring single-family houses in Texas:
City | Median Price (2025) | Inventory Trend | Homes on Market (Days on Market) |
|---|---|---|---|
Frisco | $620,000+ | Up 50% YoY | 120+ days |
McKinney | $495,000 | Up 38% YoY | 100 days |
| Prosper | $600,000+ (varies by new-build) | Rising due to rapid new construction | 90-110 days |
| Melissa | $420,000-$450,000 | Increasing supply; heavy new construction | 80-100 days |
Fort Worth | $350,000-$380,000 | Stable but slowly rising | 50-70 days |
Frisco - Overheated Luxury Market in Correction
Frisco, known for A-rated schools and upscale living, has become the prime example of a suburb where rapid growth outpaced fundamentals.
1. Buyer Opportunity: Aggressive builder incentives-like free Tesla chargers or $20,000 rate buy-downs-signal a sharp cooldown after years of frenzied demand.
2. Cost Burden:
- Monthly payments near $4,800 at 7% rates
- Property taxes near 2% = $12,000+ annually
- Insurance averages $5,000
McKinney - Family-Oriented but Overextended
Once one of America’s fastest-growing cities, McKinney now faces affordability challenges and infrastructure strain.
- Buyer Opportunity: Price cuts between $25,000-$50,000 are widespread.
- Long-Term Costs: Collin County homeowners pay a median $7,202 in property taxes (effective rate 1.75%).
Prosper & Melissa - New Construction Growth Corridors
These northern DFW suburbs are benefiting from population inflow from pricier areas like Frisco.
- Prosper: Known for upscale new builds, rapid development, and long-term appreciation potential.
- Melissa: Offers an A-rated school district, small-town feel, and strong new construction activity.
- Buyer Appeal: Ideal for those seeking modern homes, larger lots, and steady growth momentum.
Fort Worth - The Affordable Metro Anchor
Fort Worth presents a more affordable alternative within the DFW region while still offering strong job access and solid schools.
1. Affordability
- Housing costs: 24.34% of median income (better than Dallas at 25.54%)
- Median monthly homeowner cost: $1,705
2. Family Appeal
- Western suburbs like Aledo offer top-tier schools and scenic master-planned communities.
- Mansfield is praised for its central location, parks, and affordability-ideal for first-time buyers.
3. Taxes: Tarrant County’s effective tax rate is 1.82%, with homeowners paying about $4,911 annually.
Thinking about moving to Fort Worth? Explore the best neighborhoods to live in Fort Worth, TX for families, professionals, and first-time buyers.
Central Texas Market Table (2025)
City | Median Price (2025) | Inventory Trend | Homes on Market (Days on Market) |
|---|---|---|---|
Round Rock | $460,000 | Up 40% YoY | 80-100 days |
Cedar Park | $515,000 | Up 45% YoY | 80-100 days |
Leander | $475,000-$500,000 | Rising sharply | 70-90 days |
| Georgetown | $420,000-$440,000 | Stable/Rising mildly | 60-80 days |
Austin (Core) | $520,000 | Up 60% YoY | 90-110 days |
Round Rock - Overbuilt and Losing Momentum
Once promoted as an ideal family hub with strong schools and employers like Dell, Round Rock is now showing visible stress in 2025.
- Monthly payments often exceed $3,200, creating major affordability strain for average-income households.
- Infrastructure is heavily stressed: I-35 traffic jams and rapidly growing school enrollments.
- Migration into Round Rock is slowing, with families choosing cheaper towns like Taylor and Georgetown.
- Property taxes are high - about 2.1%, or roughly $9,500/year on typical homes.
Leander & Cedar Park - Fast Growth Meets Harsh Correction
These northern Austin suburbs Leander & Cedar Park soared during the tech boom-but 2025 has revealed severe market overheating.
- With 7% mortgage rates, monthly payments near $3,800 are unsustainable relative to the local $84K average income.
- Infrastructure has not kept pace - severe congestion on Hwy 183 and overcrowded schools.
- Insurance costs have risen to nearly $4,500/year due to hail and storm risk.
- Families are leaving for nearby towns where homes can cost $150,000 less.
Georgetown - A More Affordable Alternative
Georgetown is not collapsing like its neighbors. Instead, it is benefiting as families seek better value outside the overheated northern suburbs.
Attracting buyers priced out of Round Rock and Cedar Park.
- Offers more home for the money and better long-term affordability.
- Popular for master-planned communities with lower overall cost burdens.
Austin (Core) - Ground Zero for the State’s Biggest Decline
Austin remains the hardest-hit market in Texas, with broad-based price drops and weakened demand.
- Austin remains the most strained part of the Texas housing market in 2025.
- Prices have fallen from $570K peak to near $520K, with some areas seeing 10-15% YoY declines.
- Despite falling prices, affordability is still strained due to high taxes and insurance, pushing monthly payments above $4,500.
- Inventory has surged nearly 60% as demand weakens from tech layoffs and remote-work reversals.
- Many buyers are shifting to smaller, cheaper Central Texas towns instead of Austin’s core.
Major Texas Metros - 2025 Snapshot
Key Metrics for Major Texas Metros (2025)
Metro Area | Median Home Price | Inventory Trend (YoY) | Monthly Housing Cost | Housing-to-Income Ratio | Property Tax Rate | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dallas (City Core) | $450,000 | Listings up 45% | $3,100+ | 25.54% | 1.73% (Dallas County) | Market in “full-scale deflation mode” |
San Antonio | Lower entry price (median not specified) | Slight YoY decline (1.9% drop) | $1,223 | 23.63% | 1.88% (Bexar County) | Strong economic sectors; cash-flow potential |
| El Paso | $153,600 | Stable | $985 | 20.35% | 2.14% (El Paso County) | Most affordable major U.S. city |
Dallas (City Core) - Strong Economy, Temporary Decline
Dallas remains a long-term growth market, but 2025 brings a sharp correction. Inventory is up significantly, pushing prices down and raising monthly costs above $3,100. Despite the short-term dip, Dallas’s diverse economy keeps it an attractive long-term buy.
San Antonio - Affordable & Economically Stable
San Antonio combines low entry prices with expanding sectors like cybersecurity, bioscience, and military jobs. With mild price declines and monthly costs near $1,223, it remains one of the most stable and investor-friendly major metros in Texas.
If San Antonio is on your radar, dive into the best neighborhoods to live in San Antonio, TX to find the right fit for your lifestyle and budget.
El Paso - Most Affordable Big City in the U.S.
El Paso offers unmatched affordability, with monthly housing costs under $1,000 and one of the best housing-to-income ratios nationally. High tax rates are offset by low home prices, making it ideal for buyers prioritizing budget stability.
Other Key Emerging Markets
City / Area | Key Driver | Median Home Price (Est. 2025) | Insight for Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waco | Central location, revitalized downtown (Magnolia Market/Baylor University), growing job market. | $259,750 | Excellent value and central Texas location; steady appreciation projected. |
| Sherman | New Tech Hub (major Texas Instruments investment) driving a significant boom in housing demand. | N/A | High-growth potential for long-term appreciation due to job influx. |
Coastal city near Houston. Energy sector stability and very low cost of living. | $202,000 | One of the cheapest median home prices in the state, great for low buy-in cost. | |
Stable demand due to Fort Cavazos (formerly Fort Hood) military base presence. | $234,000 | Stable and affordable market with reliable demand drivers. |
Best Texas Cities by Buyer Goal 2025
Buyer Goal | Confirmed/Strategic Cities | Rationale and Key Drivers |
|---|---|---|
Appreciation (High Growth) | Prosper, Celina (DFW), Leander (Austin), New Braunfels (SA-Austin Corridor) | Focus on high-growth suburbs experiencing massive infrastructure investment and job-driven demand. These areas have higher entry costs but strong long-term equity growth potential. |
Affordability (Low Entry Cost) | Wichita Falls, Baytown, Killeen, Waco | These cities offer a median home price well below the state average of $337,800, supported by stable, non-tech-driven economies (military, manufacturing, healthcare). |
Rental Investors (Cash Flow) | Fort Worth, Houston, San Antonio, Katy (Suburb) | The price-to-rent ratio is more favorable in these markets, allowing for better cash flow than in high-price Austin or premium DFW suburbs. Strong, diverse job markets support consistent tenant demand. |
Families (Top Schools) | Frisco (DFW), The Woodlands (Houston), Katy (Houston), Round Rock (Austin) | These suburbs are renowned for top-tier ISD (Independent School District) rankings and offer safe communities, extensive parks, and family amenities, though at a premium price point. |
Houston offers diverse communities for every type of buyer. Check out the best neighborhoods to live in Houston before choosing your ideal area.
How to Choose the Right Texas City for Your Single-Family Purchase
Budget & Lifestyle Fit
Affordability in Texas goes far beyond sale price. High Texas property taxes, rising insurance costs, and elevated rates make the housing-to-income ratio the key metric to watch. Ideally, your housing payments should stay under 28% of your gross income.
1. Most Affordable Options:
- El Paso: Lowest cost burden at 20.35% of income; typical payment $985/month.
- San Antonio: Strong value with a 23.63% affordability ratio.
2. High-Cost Metros (Budget Risk):
- Austin: Ratio at 25.52%, with especially high carrying costs in nearby suburbs.
- Frisco: Median home $620,000+, monthly payment near $4,800.
- Cedar Park: $3,800 monthly payment vs. local incomes near $84K, making it largely unattainable.
3. Property Tax Impact:
Texas ranks among the highest-taxed states (avg. 1.63%).
- Collin County: $7,202/year
- Travis County: $7,160/year
- Garland: 2.2% rate → $7,500/year on a $340,000 home
4. Lifestyle Factors:
- Best for Families (High Cost): Frisco, Melissa, Aledo-all with A-rated schools.
- Overstretched Suburbs: Round Rock (severe traffic, crowded schools), McKinney (infrastructure strain).
- Lower-Cost Alternatives: Taylor and Georgetown offer similar lifestyle benefits with homes often $150K cheaper.
If you're considering a low-maintenance home, see our guide on the best places to buy condos in Texas for strong value and lifestyle benefits.
Commute Considerations
Traffic levels vary drastically across metros and can significantly impact quality of life.
1. Central Texas Congestion:
- Round Rock / I-35: LA-level traffic.
- Cedar Park / Hwy 183: Heavy daily gridlock.
- Austin / I-35: Consistently clogged.
2. DFW Congestion:
- Frisco: Tollway bottlenecks.
- Irving: Overbuilt urban core + rush-hour gridlock.
3. Remote Work Dynamics: Hybrid work gives buyers more location flexibility, but slowing corporate relocations (Irving) and tech layoffs (Austin) are reshaping demand patterns.
HOA vs. Non-HOA
Most high-demand suburbs feature master-planned communities with HOAs.
- New-Construction Suburbs: Frisco, Prosper, Forney-amenities + required HOAs.
- Buyer Incentives: In soft markets (e.g., McKinney), builders now offer perks like covering HOA fees.
- Costs: HOA fees factor into your total monthly housing burden.
Not a W-2 employee or traditional borrower? Learn how Non-QM Loans in Texas can help you qualify for a home with flexible income requirements.
New Construction vs. Resale
With a 5.5-month statewide supply, buyers have strong leverage in both segments.
1. New Construction (High Inventory): Builders are offering aggressive incentives due to oversupply:
- $20K rate buy-downs
- Covered HOA fees
- Free upgrades or appliances
- Closing cost credits
Hotspots: Frisco, Prosper, Melissa, Aledo.
Value Markets: Forney offers affordable new builds.
Risk: Overbuilt suburbs like Cedar Park show $50K price cuts on new luxury homes.
2. Resale Homes (Widespread Price Cuts): Resale sellers are struggling to compete with builder incentives.
- Price cuts in 40% of Garland listings, often $15K-$30K
- McKinney: $25K-$50K reductions common
- Statewide median price cut: $17K
- Average days on market: 96
Common Mistakes Texas Single-Family Buyers Make in 2025
- Underestimating total homeownership costs, especially high Texas property taxes and rising insurance premiums.
- Buying in cities with unsustainable price-to-income ratios that strain long-term budgets.
- Choosing suburbs with severe congestion, overloaded schools, and stressed utilities.
- Failing to negotiate aggressively in a buyer’s market with abundant inventory and widespread price cuts.
- Overlooking major builder incentives such as rate buy-downs, HOA coverage, and upgrades.
- Relying on appreciation instead of cash flow in markets where rents are flat and vacancies are rising.
- Purchasing in weak market segments like mid-tier homes ($350K-$600K) that have declining sales.
Final Thought:
Texas is a buyer’s market in 2025 with lots of homes, price cuts, and strong negotiation power. Focus on your full monthly cost (taxes + insurance), choose cities with strong job growth, and look for good school districts if buying for a family. Avoid overstressed suburbs with high prices and traffic issues. Check smaller cities like Waco, Baytown, Killeen, or Georgetown for better value.
Builders are offering big incentives, so compare new homes with resale price cuts. For rentals, Fort Worth, Houston, San Antonio, and Katy give better cash flow. Avoid assuming fast appreciation and always negotiate.
FAQs
1. Is 2025 a good time to buy a home in Texas?
Yes. If you're considering single-family houses in Texas, 2025 is one of the best years in the past decade due to lower prices, more supply, and motivated sellers-though taxes and insurance remain high.
2. Which cities are best for buying a single-family home in Texas?
Cities like Fort Worth, Georgetown, Waco, Killeen, Baytown, Prosper, and Melissa offer good prices, strong job growth, and solid long-term value.
3. What extra costs should I plan for when buying a home in Texas?
Homes in Texas come with high property taxes and rising insurance costs. Make sure to calculate the full monthly payment-not just the mortgage-so you know what you can really afford.
4. Are new homes a better deal than resale homes in 2025?
Often yes. Builders are offering big incentives like rate buy-downs, closing cost help, and free upgrades because they have many homes to sell.
5. What should families and investors look for?
- Families: Look for good schools and reasonable monthly costs.
- Investors: Choose cities where rents are steady and the price-to-rent ratio makes sense-places like Fort Worth, San Antonio, Houston, and Katy.
Get the latest market trends, homebuying tips, and insider updates—straight to your inbox. No fluff, just the good stuff.
Article by
As a great communicator with excellent negotiation skills, I focus more on establishing unbreakable ties between my clients, as opposed to just helping them achieve their real estate dreams. As a representative of both buyers and sellers, I understand how to lead a transaction process to ensure that the needs of both are met. My track record speaks for itself. Since I ventured into the industry in 2013 as a realtor, I have not only helped many buyers land perfect homes, but I have also assisted tons of owners and investors build wealth.